From UKIP Home:
It’s well known that you should not create a political frame that creates a positive view of your opposition.
For example, no political leader would ever publicly say they believe their rivals will win even if the rival has 60% poll share rating.
The reason is obvious; by stating the possibility of your rival winning, you add strength to that frame because you do not want it to happen.
Yes, yes, a well known Machiavellian strategy. But one that is also highly irritating and patronising to the average punter. We voters know very well how the opinion polls rate the parties; and we are no less able than a politician to understand, say, concepts of percentage swing. When one party is massively ahead of the other in the polls, denial is just stupid. No-one wants an ostritch as their representative.
Why do politicians believe that denying the obvious somehow wins them votes? How about trying to win votes by the power of argument, rather losing votes with these school-boy mind-tricks?