Pupil Barrister

Month: April 2010 (Page 3 of 4)

Rob's #LeadersDebate Reax

The Leaders Debate, on the Telly


First, it was refreshing to hear a political debate without the noise. I mean that not only with regards to PMQs, but to Question Time too.
I think there was substance in what all three leaders said, but precious little ideology. I was struck by how many of the policies seemed interchangable, as if one party only had the policy because they thought of it first. The only big policy differences that did seem to be based on ideology were Trident (where Clegg split with Cameron and Brown) and on taxes, where the old argument about rises and cuts seemed to play out unchanged since the 1970s.
The moderator Alastair Stewart was awkward when addressing the camera and audience. He was also annoying when moderating… but I actually think this was necessary, and a sign he did well. Only because Stewart was so firm, did he manage to minimise the constant talking over other people, and refusal to heed the chairman, that we see on Question Time.
There was surprisingly little snark. Brown tried a pre-written gag about smiling in election posters, and followed it up with a Lord Ashcroft dig at the Tories… but it fell flat.
I think Nick Clegg missed a trick, which was to ram home a point about judgement. As well as emphasising ideas, he should also have made more of the calls the the Liberal Democrat are acknowledged to have got right. I didn’t hear Vince Cable’s name mentioned, despite his prescience on the 2007/08 banking crisis. The public consensus is that the Lib Dems also got the call on the Iraq war right too, and Clegg could have reminded people about that (even though that issue was dealt with at the 2005 election).
Alll three men looked ‘Prime Ministerial’ and anyone who tells you otherwise is probably a partisan hack. But in a perverse way, I think the uniformity of the leaders reminded me of the crucial difference of the parties rank-and-file. The fact is that the Tory, Labour and Liberal Democrat activists are different from their leaders, and very different to each other. It is these activists who will influence how the winning party(s) govern. In addition to these debates, which I think are healthy, this election also needs a greater examination of the parties’ underlying values too.
And how is the media analysing the event? Well, I’ve just turned back over to Newsnight and they were analysing whether or not Cameron and Brown made enough eye-contact, and how they choreographed shaking hands at the end: Pathetic. Now I am watching Michael Crick, presenting an ‘instapoll’, and giving an analysis of what other analysts say, a fine British example of what Jay Rosen calls ‘The Church of the Savvy’.

Tinkering with Computers

The ramming through of the Digital Economy Bill in Parliament’s “wash up” period is a set-back for remix culture. Worse, because copying and sharing of digital content is so widespread, the new laws provide a sinister excuse for both corporations and the state to persecute people they don’t like.
Mike Butcher of Techcrunch calls the Bill a “Nightmare of Unintended Consequences”. He says that filesharing will continue, only this time it will be encrypted:

In April last year, Sweden’s internet traffic took a dramatic 30 per cent dip as the country’s new anti-file sharing law came into effect. … But several months later traffic levels started to surpass the old levels. Consultancy firm Mediavision found that the accessing of illegally shared movies, TV shows and music simply recovered. But there was one crucial difference. Much of the internet traffic was now encrypted.
In other words, the very laws the entertainment industries had lobbied politicians to pass in order to protect their industry had created the even bigger headache of untraceable file sharing.

I have been meaning to experiment with encryption for a while now. My three inspirations for this are Neal Stephenson and his doorstop Cryptonomicon; Cory Doctorow and his Young Adult thought-experiment Little Brother; and Simon Singh (he of the celebrated libel battle) and his non-fiction Code Book. Stephenson and Doctorow’s books are novels which justify the paranoia that inspires many people to encrypt their every communication, while Singh’s book is a fantastic explanation of the mathematics and history of cryptography.
So in (ahem) “celebration” of the Digital Economy Bill, I’ve got ahold of an old laptop and have installed Linux onto it, the operating system of choice for programmers, hobbyists and hardcore sysadmin‘s the world over. I’ve chosen Ubuntu, the most user-friendly flavour of Linux, but nevertheless there is a steep learning curve to climb. I’m slowly building my system and soon hope to send my first encrypted e-mail (if only I can find someone who can read it when it reaches them). I have spend a bit of time on the Tactical Technology Collective site, pulling off programmes from their ‘Security in a Box’ project.
“So you’re doing all this so you can steal copyright media again?” says a colleague.
I am most certainly not.
Rather, I am doing it to be prepared. First, in my working for PEN, there is a good chance I may have to use such technology for real when corresponding with cyber-dissidents from around the world. I want to have the technology and expertise on hand for them.
Moreover, I think a deeper knowledge of compter systems is an important insurance against the collapse of our current, highly complex communications network. In Cory Doctorow’s When Sysadmins Ruled the World he imagines a worldwide catastrophe which kills most people and leaves a few computer geeks corresponding over a crippled internet…
That would be an extreme scenario. More likely is that the status quo becomes broken in other ways. Apple, with the release of their iPad, are establishing a system whereby all interactions with, and all software for their machines are mediated through the AppStore/iTunes store to the exclusion of everything else. Amazon takes unprecedented control over people’s digital book collections. And legislation which builds on the Digital Economy Bill (soon to be Act) may well seal off vast tracts of cyberspace for many people. For example, if you live outside the USA, it is already extremely difficult to watch The Daily Show and South Park, two of the most important sources of satire, via the Internet. A standard IP address set-up will give you away and block your access. So, compartmentalisation of our current system is possible, even probable, and its good to have the tools to hand to mitigate the problems for freedom of information that this will cause.
Clay Shirky says more about the problem of complex systems in his latest essay.

Complex societies collapse because, when some stress comes, those societies have become too inflexible to respond. In retrospect, this can seem mystifying. Why didn’t these societies just re-tool in less complex ways? The answer Tainter gives is the simplest one: When societies fail to respond to reduced circumstances through orderly downsizing, it isn’t because they don’t want to, it’s because they can’t. In such systems, there is no way to make things a little bit simpler – the whole edifice becomes a huge, interlocking system not readily amenable to change.

The realisation that the same is true of our machines is also beginning to dawn. Time was when a car or a blender was a mechanical thing that could be fixed out on the road or on the kitchen table (or in the shed, if your wife wants to keep grease out of the house). This is becoming less possible with each passing month.
Cory Doctorow complained about this phenomenon recently with regards to Apple’s new shiny thing:

The way you improve your iPad isn’t to figure out how it works and making it better. The way you improve the iPad is to buy iApps. Buying an iPad for your kids isn’t a means of jump-starting the realization that the world is yours to take apart and reassemble; it’s a way of telling your offspring that even changing the batteries is something you have to leave to the professionals.

That rings true. During an idle chat with my insurance company last year, following an accident (not my fault, by the way), I discovered that merely setting off the airbags makes your car a write-off, so hidden and complex are the workings.
However, there was plenty of backlash to Doctorow’s analysis. Nicholas Carr suggested Cory was behaving like something of a luddite::

But I’m not under any illusion that progress gives a damn about what I want. While progress may be spurred by the hobbyist, it does not share the hobbyist’s ethic. One of the keynotes of technological advance is its tendency, as it refines a tool, to remove real human agency from the workings of that tool.

While technology has a tendency towards refinement and the removal of human agency (e.g Doctorow’s batteries or my airbags) this is not inevitable or desirable. The path of progress doe not always lead to more complicated technolgies. Nor does our retreat back to simplicity necessarily have to be a catastrophic, civilisation-ending event that Clay Shirky warns against.
Think of our changing attitudes to food. The growing envrionmental movement has made us aware of how dependent we are on the supply chain, and how difficult it would be for us to fend for ourselves in the event of a crisis. In response, we see that schools are eager to teach basic gardening, growing vegetables in your city yard is becoming fashionable, and self-sufficiency at home is the new black. While few people achieve complete sustainability, attitudes are changing and there is more interest, and incentives, to reconnect with a more bespoke, less commodified way of living.
Let us hope a similar attitude emerges for computing. The same long-term thinking that inspires environmentalism should also provoke an interest in the software and machines that can take us beyond the five-year-plans of the NASDAQ players and the Big Four music labels. The Digital Economy Bill is an unpleasant travesty, a victory for insider lobbying… but if it inspires more people to look deeper at open-source software and alternatives to Microsoft and Apple, then that would at least be something. Based on a sample size of one (i.e. just me) I forsee a growing vogue for hobbism, tinkering, and repurposed machines.

Update

@Documentally agrees (I think):

After learning a little about Linux today & then reading how Steve Jobs is going insane.. makes me want t boycott apple.

Some Idle Thoughts About Voting

So apparently there is some kind of election thingy happening on 6th May.

“Many forms of Government have been tried, and will be tried in this world of sin and woe. No one pretends that democracy is perfect or all-wise. Indeed, it has been said that democracy is the worst form of government except all those other forms that have been tried from time to time.”
– Sir Winston Churchill, 1947

I’ve been reading thoughts from Peter Kellner and Mat Bowles on the issue of polling and turnout.
First, I have to admit I find the concept of ‘swing’ rather discordant.  Kellner analyses the race in these terms -the election is an iterative equation and not an isolated event. I am reminded of the Monty Hall ‘Game Show’ thought experiment, where there is a prize-goat behind one of three doors.1 After Monty, the host, has revealed one of the bogus doors, the chances of the goat being behind the door you did not choose is 2/3… or so the Mathematicians say, ignoring the fact that something has happened in between. Likewise with elections – the concept of ‘swing’ suggests that this election is merely a function of the previous one.
Yes, yes, I know: Elections are a function of previous outcomes. Voters have an after-the-fact loyalty to the person they voted for last time, for example. The memory of the brutal Thatcher years, or even The Winter of Discontent, still has influence in 2010 when many (if not most) of the voters don’t remember them first hand. Still, like voting along ethnic lines, the fact that the starting positions on the electoral board are skewed doesn’t seem like the ideal of democracy.
All this means that the contest is already over in 382 seats, according to the Electoral Reform Society.  This inspires people in those constituencies to stay at home.  Worse, it nudges the politicians in those constituencies – both those destined for victory, and those who know they will lose – to campaign elsewhere.  So begins a vicious cycle of disenchantment for the electors, and a disconnect between them and their MPs.  Add to that the Heisenberg effect of polling (i.e. measuring voter intentions might actually alter voter intentions) and you can make a strong case that all these pesky statistics actually serve to discourage voting.
How does PR or STV change the equations?  Or must we, in the end, return to Churchill’s quote about democracy and make the best of a bad job?


1.  On reflection, I think in the original formulation of the puzzle, the prize is a car and the goat is the bogey-prize.  I prefer my version though.  A goat in the back garden is a handy alternative to lawmower, and we all like feta, don’t we?

Sam Leith's 'Fail' Win

I do like Sam Leith’s Standard column on a Monday evening. If a columnist manages to write something that chimes with your own views often enough, then when he challenges you he is more likely to persuade.
His column on ‘Broken Britain’ is one such example. He outlines why he thinks the phrase is more than a cliche. The final line has a twenty-first century feel:

Now a 15-year-old boy lies dead. Child fail, parent fail, police fail, passer-by fail. “Broken” does just about cover it.

Note the use of the word ‘fail’ as a sort of all encompassing noun. Rather than say “failed” (which begs the question, in which precise activity did they not succeed?) a ‘fail’ implies something more fundamental, a negation of one’s telos. it isn’t just setting ourselves a task and then not succeeding. Its a 180 degree reversal of the goal.
This concept is well understood by anyone who spends time on the Internet: there is a Fail Blog dedicated to funny examples, and it’s a staple of hashtagging (#O2fail, or #BCAfail, say). Nevertheless, it is interesting to see it in a newspaper, used ‘properly’ by the writer to conveys both an astonishment and the events described, but also the scale of the tragedy and it’s wider implications.

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